Matt Lebo

Matt Lebo
Professor
Director, Centre for Computational and Quantitative Social Science (CCQSS)


Contact Information
Office: SSC 7233
Tel: 519 661-2111 X 88562
E-mail: mlebo2@uwo.ca 

Education

PhD, University of North Texas, 1999; MA, University of Toronto; BA, University of Toronto

Research Interests

Professor Lebo's research focusses on national level politics in the United States -- political parties in Congress, the presidency, and elections. I have written about the strategic decisions political parties must make to balance electoral and legislative goals. I also study research methodology and time series analysis including micro-targeting and election forecasting. Additional interests are in British politics and Scottish independence.

Current Research Projects

Professor Lebo is currently working on projects on redistricting in the United States and several papers on time series methodology in the social sciences.

Scholarly Books (Authored & Co-Authored)

  • 2017. Gregory Koger and Matthew Lebo. Strategic Party Government: Why Winning Trumps Ideology. University of Chicago Press.

Refereed Journal Articles

  • 2022. Clayton Webb, Suzanna Linn, and Matthew Lebo. “Beyond the Unit Root Question: Drawing Inferences about Long Run Relationships Given Uncertain Univariate Dynamics.” American Journal of Political Science.
  • 2019. Donovan, Kathleen, Ellen M. Key, Paul M. Kellstedt, and Matthew Lebo. “Motivated Reasoning, Public Opinion, and Presidential Approval.” Political Behavior.
  • 2019. Clayton Webb, Suzanna Linn, and Matthew Lebo. “A Bounds Approach to Inference using the Long Run Multiplier.” Political Analysis.
  • 2017. Matthew Lebo and Patrick Kraft. “The General Error Correction Model in Practice.” Research and Politics.
    2016. Matthew Lebo. “Managing Your Research Pipeline.” PS: Political Science and Politics.
  • 2016. Matthew Lebo and Taylor Grant. “Equation Balance and Dynamic Political Modeling.” Political Analysis 24(1).
  • 2016. Taylor Grant and Matthew Lebo. “Error Correction Methods with Political Time Series.” Political Analysis 24(1).
  • 2016. Matthew Lebo and Helmut Norpoth. “Victory without Power: the PM-Pendulum Model and a 2015 British Election Forecast.” Electoral Studies 41.
  • 2015. Matthew Lebo and Chris Weber. “An Effective Approach to the Rolling Cross Sectional Design.” American Journal of Political Science 59(1).
  • 2012. Matthew Lebo and Helmut Norpoth. “Forecasting British Elections: The ‘PM and the Pendulum’ Model Reconsidered. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties 23(1).

Book Chapters

  • 2021. Andy Sancton and Christopher Alcantara. “Membership Rules for Democratic Communities: Canada and the United States” in What is Democracy and How Do We Study It? Edited by Cameron Anderson and Laura B. Stephenson. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
  • 2020. Graham White and Christopher Alcantara. “Institutional Design and Inuit Governance: Nunatsiavut and Nunavut” in Voices of Inuit Leadership and Self-Determination in Canada. Edited by Dave Lough. ISER Books, pp. 125-158.
  • 2015. Gary Wilson, Christopher Alcantara, and Thierry Rodon. “Multilevel Governance in the Inuit Regions of the Territorial and Provincial North.” 2013 IIGR State of the Federation book, Aboriginal Multilevel Governance in Canada edited by Martin Papillon. Kingston: Institute of Intergovernmental Relations, pp. 43-64.
  • 2014. George Braden, Christopher Alcantara, and Michael Morden. “Something Old or Something New?: Territorial Development and Influence within the Canadian Federation.” 2011 IIGR State of the Federation book, The Changing Federal Environment: Rebalancing Roles edited by Nadia Verrelli. Kingston: Institute of Intergovernmental Relations, pp. 171-193.